SPC MD 1041
MD 1041 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR EASTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI
Mesoscale Discussion 1041
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1102 PM CDT Mon Jun 08 2026
Areas affected...eastern Kansas and western Missouri
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely
Valid 090402Z - 090530Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent
SUMMARY...A bowing cluster will continue east/southeastward with a
risk for severe gusts and a couple of tornadoes into the overnight
hours. A new Watch will be issued downstream.
DISCUSSION...An intense bowing complex over central KS with a
history of significant wind damage is expected to continue
east/southeastward this evening and overnight. Numerous reports of
measured severe winds, damage, and observed radar velocities
indicate this complex remains very strong. A large reservoir of
buoyancy (MUCAPE 3000-4000 J/kg) remains in place over eastern KS,
weakening into western MO. This should maintain the threat for
damaging gusts with these strong storms for a few more hours
tonight. Strong low-level shear could also support a couple of QLCS
tornadoes.
Current CAM trends eventually show weakening later tonight as the
complex is forecast to move into weaker buoyancy and increasing
nocturnal inhibition along the KS/MO border. However, the strength
of the cold pool and radar observed rear inflow jet suggest this
will take several hours. A threat for damaging gusts and QLCS
tornadoes will likely continue for some time tonight. A Watch
downstream from WW290 will be issued for portions of eastern KS and
western MO in the next hour.
..Lyons/Gleason.. 06/09/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...
LAT...LON 37109363 37019459 37429589 37829685 38179681 39139644
39449609 39429435 39219382 38759326 38299318 37489327
37109363
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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SPC MD 1040
MD 1040 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 291... FOR NORTHWESTERN KANSAS INTO WESTERN NEBRASKA
Mesoscale Discussion 1040
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1039 PM CDT Mon Jun 08 2026
Areas affected...northwestern Kansas into western Nebraska
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 291...
Valid 090339Z - 090545Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 291
continues.
SUMMARY...Damaging wind and hail risk continues within WW290.
DISCUSSION...Multiple multi-cell clusters continue across WW290.
Reports of gusts 60-70 mph were reported with the cluster in western
Nebraska. Outflow has steadily come out of the southern end of this
cluster with continued development along the outflow to the north.
This will continue to pose a risk for damaging wind downstream over
the next 1-2 hours.
One supercell persists near Goodland, KS with a history of producing
hail up to 1.75 inches in diameter. Mesh cores with this storm
continue to suggest potential for large hail 1-2 inches.
With time, it is expected that thunderstorm activity will weaken
with eastward extent, owing to nocturnal cooling and increasing
MLCIN.
..Thornton.. 06/09/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS...
LAT...LON 39530205 40590202 41500258 41860272 42540253 42350198
41560122 40910055 40470057 39690070 39340092 39190119
39160167 39120194 39530205
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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